Simon Property Group Q4 2025 Earnings: Revenue Beat and Retailer Sales Surge

Date: February 2, 2026
Ticker: NYSE: SPG
Topic: Q4 and Full Year 2025 Earnings Summary

3–5 minutes

Earnings Summary

  • Top Line (Revenue): Simon Property Group reported total revenue of $1.79 billion, comfortably beating the analyst consensus range of $1.51–$1.63 billion. This represents a 13.2% increase year-over-year compared to $1.58 billion in Q4 2024.
  • Bottom Line (EPS): Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS) came in at a staggering $9.35, massively exceeding the consensus estimate of ~$3.46. However, this figure was heavily skewed by a $2.89 billion non-cash gain related to the acquisition of the remaining interest in Taubman Realty Group.
  • Funds From Operations (FFO): Real Estate FFO, a key metric for REITs that normalizes for one-time items, was $3.49 per share, meeting the upper end of analyst expectations ($3.49). This represents a 4.2% increase from the $3.35 reported in the same quarter last year.
  • Net Income: Reported net income attributable to common stockholders was $3.05 billion, a massive increase from $667.2 million in the prior-year period, primarily driven by the aforementioned Taubman transaction gain.

Despite lingering macroeconomic uncertainty, the “Theme of the Quarter” for Simon was the undeniable strength of its tenants. Reported retailer sales per square foot reached $799 for the trailing 12 months, an 8.1% increase compared to $739 in the prior year.

This tenant health translated directly into pricing power for the landlord. Base minimum rent per square foot rose to $60.97, up 4.7% year-over-year from $58.26. This metric is critical as it suggests that Simon is successfully capturing the upside of its tenants’ performance through rent spreads, validating the quality of its “Class A” mall portfolio.

The headline EPS number was dominated by the company’s strategic maneuvering regarding Taubman Realty Group (TRG). In the fourth quarter, Simon acquired the remaining interest in TRG, triggering a $2.89 billion non-cash gain from remeasuring its previously held equity interest to fair value. While this distorts the GAAP earnings comparison, it signals Simon’s continued consolidation of high-quality retail assets and commitment to its premier portfolio strategy.

Financials: Simon Property Group (Q4 2025)

Market Context

The retail REIT sector has been stabilizing, with landlords entering year-end with firmer fundamentals and strengthening demand. Simon’s performance reflects this broader trend, although a slight dip in occupancy warrants monitoring.

(Figures in millions of USD, except per share data and percentages)Q4 2025 (Reported)Q4 2024 (Last Year)% Change (YoY)
Total Revenue$1,791$1,582+13.2%
Net Income$3,048$667+357%
Real Estate FFO / Share$3.49$3.35+4.2%
Op. Income (Before Other)$891$836+6.6%
Occupancy96.40%96.50%-10 bps
Base Rent (per sq ft)$60.97$58.26+4.7%

While revenue and rent per square foot grew impressively, occupancy saw a slight sequential and year-over-year compression, dipping 10 basis points to 96.4%. Additionally, reported FFO (standard) was impacted by a one-time after-tax loss of $120.7 million related to Catalyst Brands restructuring, landing at $3.27 per share versus $3.68 last year.

Full Year 2025 Financials

(Figures in millions of USD, except per share data and percentages)FY 2025 (Reported)FY 2024 (Last Year)% Change (YoY)
Total Revenue$6,365$5,964+6.7%
Net Income$4,624$2,368+95%
Real Estate FFO / Share$12.73$12.24+4.0%
Retailer Sales (psf)$799$739+8.1%

For the full year, Simon generated a record $4.8 billion in Real Estate Funds From Operations. The company also returned significant capital to shareholders, paying out $3.5 billion in dividends and buybacks, underscoring its strong cash generation capabilities.

Outlook: Q1 2026 & Beyond

Management provided its initial outlook for the full year 2026, projecting continued growth in its core operational metric.

  • Real Estate FFO: Estimated to be in the range of $13.00 to $13.25 per share. This midpoint ($13.125) suggests growth of approximately 3% over the $12.73 achieved in 2025.
  • Net Income: Projected to be between $6.87 and $7.12 per share.
  • Dividends: The Board declared a quarterly dividend of $2.20 per share for Q1 2026, a 4.8% increase year-over-year, reinforcing confidence in future cash flows.

Market & Price Trends

Simon Property Group shares have been trading near 52-week highs, reflecting investor confidence in the “Class A” mall thesis. The market is likely to view the Q4 report favorably, focusing on the strong beat in revenue and retailer sales performance, while looking past the noise of the one-time GAAP earnings spike. The robust 2026 guidance further supports the narrative that the physical retail recovery is structural, not transient.

What to Look Out For

1. Redevelopment ROI: With the company executing over 17 million square feet of leases and completing significant redevelopment projects in 2025, investors should watch for the yield on these investments in 2026.
2. Occupancy Stabilization: While 96.4% is healthy, the slight dip from 96.5% will be a metric to watch. Investors will look for this to trend back upward or stabilize in upcoming quarters.
3. Balance Sheet Management: Having completed significant refinancing activity, including a $1.5 billion senior notes offering, monitoring the company’s liquidity (currently $9.1 billion) and leverage ratios remains important in a fluctuating interest rate environment.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice; always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Palantir Obliterates Expectations: 70% Revenue Surge and Bullish Guidance Crush

PLTR

Date: February 2, 2026
Ticker: PLTR
Topic: Q4 Earnings Summary

2–3 minutes

Earnings Summary

  • Revenue: Palantir reported revenue of $1.41 billion, crushing the Wall Street consensus estimate of ~$1.34 billion. This represents a massive 70% increase year-over-year.
  • EPS: Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.25, beating analyst expectations of ~$0.23. This is a significant jump from the $0.14 reported in the same quarter last year.
  • Net Income: GAAP net income surged to $609 million, representing a robust 43% margin, proving the company’s ability to scale profitably.
  • Rule of 40: The company achieved a staggering Rule of 40 score of 127%, underscoring its elite combination of growth and profitability.
  • Guidance: Management raised the bar significantly, guiding for $7.18–$7.20 billion for the full year 2026, signaling sustained hyper-growth.

Financials Snapshot:

Market Context

Palantir’s financial profile this quarter reflects a company in hyper-growth mode, leveraging high demand to expand its footprint in both public and private sectors.

(Figures in millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated)Q4 2025 (Reported)Q4 2024 (Last Year)% Change YoY
Revenue$1.41 B$0.83 B+70%
Adj. EPS$0.25$0.14*+79%
Adj. Operating Margin57%45%+12 pts
Adj. Free Cash Flow$791 M$517 M+53%
US Comm. Rev Growth*137%70%+67 pts

Outlook & Guidance: Q1 2026 & Beyond


US Commercial Outlook: Management expects US commercial revenue to exceed $3.1 billion in 2026, representing a growth rate of at least 115%.
Q1 2026 Revenue: Forecasted between $1.532–$1.536 billion, implying continued sequential momentum.
Full Year 2026: Revenue projected at roughly $7.18–$7.20 billion. This is significantly above the $6.3 billion analyst consensus prior to the print.

This “beat and raise” is substantial. A nearly $1 billion raise on the full-year top line indicates high visibility into their contract pipeline and suggests that the momentum seen in Q4 is not a one-off event but the start of a new growth cycle.

The market reaction was swift and euphoric. Shares of PLTR climbed over 8% in after-hours trading, reaching approximately $158.98.

This pop comes as a relief rally. Palantir stock had corrected roughly 12% in the past month amidst a broader software sell-off and fears that generative AI would render SaaS platforms obsolete. This report serves as a strong rebuttal to the “AI disruption” bear case, propelling Palantir back into the favor of growth investors. Analysts have begun upgrading the stock, citing the “reasonable” valuation following the drawdown and the undeniable strength of the US government re-acceleration.

What to Watch Next

Government Contract Velocity: Watch for announcements regarding new, large-scale federal contracts, particularly with the new administration’s focus on defense and border security.
AI Platform (AIP) Adoption: Monitor if the triple-digit commercial growth sustains in Q1, specifically looking for customer count metrics which grew 49% YoY in the US.
Valuation Concerns: With the stock popping 8%, valuation concerns will likely resurface. Can Palantir grow fast enough to justify its premium multiple?

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice; always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Disney Q1 FY2026 Earnings: Streaming Profits & Parks Drive Beat

DIS

Date: February 2, 2026
Ticker: NYSE: DIS
Topic: Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Summary

2–3 minutes

Earnings Summary

  • Revenue: Disney reported revenues of $25.98 billion, beating analyst expectations of ~$25.54 billion by approximately 1.7%. This represents a 5% increase year-over-year compared to $24.69 billion in Q1 FY2025.
  • EPS: Adjusted diluted EPS came in at $1.63, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.57 by roughly 4%. However, this reflects a 7% decline from the $1.76 reported in the same quarter last year, largely due to difficult comparisons in the Entertainment segment.
  • Net Income: Net income attributable to Disney was $2.40 billion, a 6% decrease from $2.55 billion in the prior-year quarter.
  • Streaming Profitability: Entertainment SVOD operating income surged 72% to $450 million, with margins improving to 8.4%.
  • Experiences Strength: The Experiences segment (Parks) delivered record revenue of $10.0 billion (+6% YoY) and operating income of $3.3 billion (+6% YoY), defying fears of a sharper slowdown.

Financials: The Walt Disney Company (Q1 FY2026)

Market Context

Disney’s results arrive in a complex environment where legacy media assets are under pressure, but digital pivots are beginning to bear fruit. The company’s ability to grow streaming profits while maintaining pricing power in its theme parks has been a key thesis for bulls. The “bifurcated” nature of the results—strong streaming and parks performance offset by linear TV declines and theatrical volatility—reflects the broader industry transition.

(Figures in millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated)Q1 FY2026Q1 FY2025% Change (YoY)
Revenue$25,981$24,690+5%
Net Income$2,402$2,554-6%
Adjusted EPS$1.63$1.76-7%
Segment Op. Income$4,600$5,060-9%
Cash from Ops$735$3,205-77%
Free Cash Flow$2,278$739

Theatrical Headwinds: Entertainment segment operating income fell 35% to $1.1 billion. This was driven by higher marketing costs for major releases like Zootopia 2 and Avatar: Fire and Ash, and difficult comparisons to the prior year’s slate.
Cash Flow Timing: The sharp drop in operating cash flow (down 77%) was largely due to the timing of tax payments related to California wildfire relief, which shifted liabilities into this quarter.
Sports Stability: Sports revenue was flat (+1%), but operating income fell 23% due to higher rights costs (NBA) and the impact of a temporary YouTube TV carriage dispute.

Outlook: Q2 FY2026 & Full Year

Management provided detailed guidance for the upcoming quarter and fiscal year, reinforcing confidence in long-term growth targets.

  • Q2 FY2026:
  • Entertainment: Operating income expected to be comparable to Q2 FY2025.
  • Streaming: SVOD operating income projected to reach ~$500 million (up $200M YoY).
  • Sports: Operating income expected to decline by ~$100 million due to higher rights expenses.
  • Full Year FY2026:
  • EPS Growth: Reaffirmed target for double-digit adjusted EPS growth compared to FY2025.
  • Cash Flow: Targeting $19 billion in cash provided by operations.
  • Share Buybacks: On track to repurchase $7 billion of stock, doubling the FY2025 pace.

Market & Price Trends

Despite the earnings beat, Disney shares dipped approximately 2.8% in pre-market trading immediately following the release. Investors appeared to weigh the strong quarterly beat against the soft Q2 guidance for the Sports segment and the temporary drag on free cash flow. However, the stock remains in a tight trading range ($100-$120), looking for a catalyst to break out.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice; always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Apple Q1 2026 Earnings: Record iPhone Sales and Services Growth

Date: January 29, 2026
Ticker: NASDAQ: AAPL
Topic: Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Summary

2–3 minutes

Earnings Summary

  • Revenue: Apple reported net sales of $143.76 billion, beating analyst expectations of ~$138.4 billion by approximately 3.9%. This represents a 15.7% increase year-over-year compared to $124.3 billion in Q1 2025.
  • EPS: Diluted EPS came in at $2.84, surpassing the consensus estimate of $2.65–2.67 by roughly 6-7%. This is an 18.3% increase from the $2.40 reported in the same quarter last year.
  • Net Income: Net income rose to $42.10 billion, a 15.9% increase year-over-year from $36.33 billion in Q1 2025.
  • iPhone Strength: The iPhone segment delivered its best-ever quarter with $85.27 billion in revenue, up 23.3% year-over-year. This surge was a primary driver of the revenue beat, signaling strong demand for the latest models.
  • Services Record: Services revenue hit an all-time high of $30.01 billion, up 13.9% from $26.34 billion a year ago, continuing its trajectory as a reliable growth engine.

Financials: Apple Inc. (Q1 Fiscal 2026)

Market Context

Apple’s results arrive amidst a backdrop of “cautious optimism” for the tech sector. While concerns linger about global consumer spending, Apple’s ability to deliver double-digit growth in both Products (+16%) and Services (+14%) demonstrates resilience. Notably, the “Great China” region saw a massive 38% year-over-year increase in sales, dispelling fears of a slowdown in that critical market.

(Figures in millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated)Q1 2026Q1 2025 % Change (YoY)Q4 2025
Net Sales$143,756$124,300+15.7%$94,930
Net Income$42,097$36,330+15.9%$22,963
Diluted EPS$2.84$2.40+18.3%$1.46
Gross Margin$69,231$58,275+18.8%$43,879
Operating Income$50,852$42,832+18.7%$29,591

Product Mix: The iPhone continues to dominate, accounting for nearly 60% of total revenue. However, Mac and Wearables saw declines of 6.7% and 2.2% respectively, highlighting a divergence in product category performance.
Regional Outperformance: Greater China sales exploded to $25.53 billion (up from $18.51 billion), a clear standout. Europe and the Americas also posted solid growth of 12.7% and 11.2% respectively.
Cash Flow: Apple generated $53.9 billion in operating cash flow during the quarter and returned nearly $32 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, underscoring its massive liquidity.

Outlook: Q2 Fiscal 2026

During the earnings call, management provided guidance for the upcoming March quarter.

  • Revenue: Apple expects Q2 year-over-year revenue growth to be between 13% and 16%.
  • Gross Margin: Projected to remain strong at 48–49%.
  • Services: Expected to maintain the double-digit growth rate seen in Q1.
  • Analyst Context: Current consensus estimates for Q2 revenue are likely to be revised upward from the pre-report expectations of ~$102 billion given the strong Q1 momentum.

Market & Price Trends

Apple shares edged higher by approximately 0.5–1% in after-hours trading following the release. The market reaction reflects relief at the strong China numbers and the continued dominance of the iPhone, though the muted reaction suggests much of this optimism was already priced in.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice; always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Microsoft Q2 2026 Earnings: AI and Cloud Revenue Surge

Date: January 28, 2026
Ticker: NASDAQ: MSFT
Topic: Q2 FY2026 Earnings Summary

2–3 minutes

Earnings Summary

  • Revenue: Microsoft reported $81.3 billion, beating analyst expectations of ~$80.3 billion by 1.2%. This represents a 17% increase year-over-year compared to $69.6 billion in Q2 FY2025.
  • EPS: Non-GAAP diluted EPS came in at $4.14, beating the consensus estimate of $3.92 by 5.6%. This reflects a 24% increase from the $3.35 reported in the same quarter last year.
  • Net Income: GAAP net income was $38.5 billion (+60% YoY), while non-GAAP net income was $30.9 billion (+23% YoY). The GAAP figure was significantly boosted by a net gain from investments in OpenAI.
  • Cloud Momentum: Microsoft Cloud revenue surpassed $50 billion for the first time, reaching $51.5 billion (+26% YoY), signaling robust demand for AI and cloud services.
  • AI & Infrastructure: The company highlighted that it is still in the “beginning phases of AI diffusion,” with heavy investment in infrastructure to meet demand.

Financials: Microsoft Corporation (Q2 2026)

Market Context

The tech sector continues to be defined by the “AI arms race,” with Microsoft leading the charge through its partnership with OpenAI and integration of Copilot across its stack. The market has been rewarding companies that can show tangible revenue from AI, which Microsoft demonstrated this quarter. However, the accompanying surge in capital expenditures (Capex) to build out data centers remains a key point of scrutiny for investors concerned about long-term margins.

(Figures in millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated)Q2 FY26Q2 FY25 % Change (YoY)Q1 FY26
Revenue$81,273$69,632+17%$77,673
Operating Income$38,275$31,653+21%$37,961
Net Income (GAAP)$38,458$24,108+60%$27,747
Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP)$4.14$3.35+24%$4.13
Cloud Revenue$51,500$40,800 (est.)+26%$49,100

Notable Takeaways

Capex Surge: Capital expenditures (cash paid for PP&E) were $29.9 billion for the quarter, a significant jump reflecting the aggressive build-out of AI infrastructure.
Azure Growth: Azure and other cloud services revenue grew 39% (38% in constant currency), accelerating from the previous quarter and continuing to drive the Intelligent Cloud segment.
Productivity Strength: Office 365 Commercial revenue grew 17%, while Consumer revenue jumped 29%, showing strong retention and upsell opportunities.

Outlook: Q3 2026

While specific guidance for Q3 was delivered on the webcast, the trends point to continued aggressive investment.

  • Revenue: Analysts expect Q3 revenue to be in the range of $80.65 – $81.75 billion.
  • Azure: Growth is projected to remain strong, with estimates hovering around 37-38% in constant currency.
  • Capex: Management has signaled that capital expenditures will likely decrease sequentially from Q2’s record high but remain elevated compared to historical levels to support the long-term AI roadmap.

What to Look Out For

Despite the beat on top and bottom lines, Microsoft shares fell approximately 7% in after-hours trading. The sell-off appears driven by “sticker shock” over the massive $29.9 billion in capital expenditures and concerns that Azure growth, while strong, may face deceleration against tougher comps. Investors are balancing the clear AI revenue wins against the enormous cost required to sustain them.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice; always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Meta Q4 2025 Earnings: Revenue Beat – Capex increase for 2026

Date: January 28, 2026
Ticker: NASDAQ: META
Topic: Q4 Earnings and Full Year 2025 Earnings Summary

2–3 minutes

Earnings Summary

  • Revenue: Meta reported $59.89 billion, beating analyst expectations of ~$58.41 billion by approximately 2.5%. This represents a 24% increase year-over-year.
  • EPS: Diluted EPS came in at $8.88, surpassing the consensus estimate of $8.19 by roughly 8.4%. This is an 11% increase from the $8.02 reported in the same quarter last year.
  • Net Income: Net income rose to $22.77 billion, a 9% increase year-over-year from $20.84 billion in Q4 2024.
  • User Growth (DAP): Family Daily Active People (DAP) reached 3.58 billion on average for December 2025, a 7% increase year-over-year.
  • Capex Shock: The company announced a massive step-up in capital expenditures. Q4 Capex was $22.14 billion (FY 2025: $72.22 billion), with 2026 guidance projecting a staggering $115-135 billion to support “Meta Superintelligence Labs”.

Financials: Meta Platforms (Q4 2025)

Market Context

The digital advertising market remains robust, with Meta effectively using AI to improve ad efficiency. However, the company’s narrative has shifted entirely to an infrastructure “arms race.” The divergence between its highly profitable core business and its colossal future spending plans is the central theme for investors.

(Figures in millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated)Q4 2025Q4 2024 % Change (YoY)Q3 2025
Revenue$59893$48385+24%$51242
Net Income$22768$20,838+9%$2709*
Diluted EPS$8.88$8.02+11%$1.05*
Op. Margin41%48%-7 pts40%
Free Cash Flow$14077$13152+7%$10620
*Note: Q3 2025 Net Income/EPS was impacted by a one-time non-cash tax charge related to the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”.

Revenue growth (24% YoY) continues to outpace expense growth in the core business, but total costs and expenses surged 40% YoY to $35.15 billion, compressing operating margins to 41% from 48% a year ago. This margin compression is a direct result of the heavy infrastructure investment and talent acquisition in AI.

Full Year 2025 Financials

(Figures in millions of dollars unless otherwise indicated)FY 2025FY 2024% Change (YoY)
Revenue$200,966$164,501+22%
Net Income$60,458*$62,360-3%
Diluted EPS$23.49$23.86-2%
Op. Margin41%42%-1 pt
Free Cash Flow$43,585*$52,103-16%
*Note: Q3 2025 Net Income/EPS was impacted by a one-time non-cash tax charge related to the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act”.

Despite crossing the $200 billion revenue milestone, full-year net income and EPS declined slightly. This was primarily due to a significantly higher provision for income taxes ($25.5 billion in 2025 vs $8.3 billion in 2024), driven by the implementation of new tax legislation. Without this tax headwind, the effective tax rate would have been 13% instead of 30%.

Outlook: Q1 2026 & Beyond

Management provided a bullish revenue outlook but accompanied it with a massive expense forecast.

  • Q1 2026 Revenue: Expected to be in the range of $53.5 – $56.5 billion. This guidance midpoint is well above the analyst consensus of roughly $51.34 billion, suggesting continued ad market dominance.
  • 2026 Expense Explosion: Full-year 2026 expenses are projected to hit $162-169 billion.
  • Capex Guidance: The most shocking number is the $115-135 billion capex guide for 2026. This represents a near-doubling of investment to support AI infrastructure, dwarfing previous spending cycles.

Market & Price Trends

Despite the “sticker shock” on Capex, Meta shares rallied approximately 8.8% following the report. Investors appear to be interpreting the massive spending as a sign of confidence in future AI returns, bolstered by the strong beat on current revenue and the healthy Q1 guidance. The market is choosing to focus on the growth story rather than the margin compression.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice; always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

ASML Q4 2025 Earnings: Revenue Beat & Record Bookings

Date: January 28, 2026
Ticker: NASDAQ: ASML
Topic: Q4 Earnings and Full Year 2025 Earnings Digest

2–3 minutes

Earnings Summary

  • Revenue: ASML reported net sales of €9.72 billion, beating analyst expectations of €9.58 billion.
  • EPS: Diluted EPS came in at €7.34, missing the consensus estimate of €7.55 by roughly 2.8%. However, this is still a 7.3% increase from the €6.84 reported in the same quarter last year.
  • Net Income: Net income rose to €2.84 billion, a 5.4% increase year-over-year from €2.69 billion in Q4 2024.
  • Net Bookings: Net bookings surged to €13.16 billion, nearly double the €7.09 billion recorded in Q4 2024.
  • Gross Margin: Gross margin improved to 52.2%, up from 51.7% in Q4 2024, driven by a favorable product mix including high-end EUV systems.

Financials: ASML Holding N.V. (Q4 2025)

Market Context

The semiconductor equipment market has been volatile, balancing between booming AI demand and lingering weakness in consumer electronics and automotive chips. ASML’s results confirm a “bifurcated” recovery where advanced nodes (AI/Logic) are accelerating while legacy nodes remain steady. The record bookings number suggests that major foundries are now aggressively committing to 2026/2027 capacity.

(Figures in millions of euros unless otherwise indicated)Q4 2025Q4 2024 % Change (YoY)Q3 2025Q2 2025
Net Sales€9718€9263+4.9%€7516€7692
Net Income€2840€2693+5.4%€2125€2290
Diluted EPS€7.34€6.84+7.3%€5.48€5.90
Gross Margin52.2%51.7%+0.5 pts51.6%53.7%
Net Bookings€13158€7088+85.6%€5399€5541

Full Year 2025 Financials

(Figures in millions of euros unless otherwise indicated)FY 2025 (Reported)FY 2024 (Last Year)% Change (YoY)
Net Sales€32667€28263+15.6%
Net Income€9609€7572+26.9%
Diluted EPS€24.71€19.24+28.4%
Gross Margin52.8%51.3%+1.5 pts
Net Bookings€28035€18899+48.3%

ASML delivered a strong fiscal year with 26.9% net income growth outpacing top-line revenue growth, demonstrating operational leverage. The company sold 300 new lithography systems in 2025 compared to 380 in 2024, yet revenue increased, highlighting the significantly higher average selling price (ASP) of their advanced EUV and High-NA systems.

Outlook: Q1 2026 & Beyond

Management provided solid guidance for the start of 2026, reflecting confidence in the continued AI ramp.

  • Q1 2026 Revenue: Expected to be between €8.2 billion and €8.9 billion.
  • Q1 Gross Margin: Projected between 51% and 53%.
  • Full Year 2026: Revenue expected between €34 billion and €39 billion, representing continued growth over the record 2025 figures.

Current analyst expectations for Q1 2026 were hovering around €8.5 billion, placing the midpoint of ASML’s guidance (€8.55 billion) slightly above consensus.

Market & Price Trends

Despite the earnings miss, ASML shares showed resilience in after-market trading, rising modestly. The market appears to be looking past the slight EPS miss, focusing instead on the massive bookings number which de-risks the 2026 growth story. However, pre-market action has been mixed, reflecting broader tech sector volatility.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice; always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.